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The contest for the #1 ranking is over. Roger Federer will be the top player this week, and after Miami, and all the way until Monte Carlo. Indeed, a good result here could clinch it all the way through Hamburg.

We have, in fact, clinched the entire Top Five: Rafael Nadal will be #2, Novak Djokovic #3, Nikolay Davydenko #4, and David Ferrer #5. The first possible move is at #6. Andy Roddick has the spot now, but David Nalbandian can pass him with a semifinal, and James Blake with a title.

Those nine (Federer, Nadal, Djokovic, Davydenko, Ferrer, Roddick, Nalbandian, Gasquet, and Blake) were sure, as of the beginning of this week, to be Top Ten when this is over. That left one Top Ten spot, currently held by Tomas Berdych. So close are the rankings from #11 to #25, though, that anyone in the Top 25 could have passed Berdych with a title! That meant that, on Wednesday morning, we have about eight contenders for the last Top Ten spot. But none lasted the day -- as of now, the #10 spot is Berdych's.

The fact that there were so many players still with a chance at the Top Ten left the Top Fifteen very unsettled indeed. But four players seemed secure in practice if perhaps not quite in theory: Berdych (assuming he isn't Top Ten), Youzhny, Tsonga, and Murray. And we can now add Robredo and Canas.

Looking good to stay Top Twenty are all the guys listed above (Federer, Nadal, Djokovic, Davydenko, Ferrer, Roddick, Nalbandian, Gasquet, Blake, Berdych, Youzhny, Tsonga, Murray, Robredo, Canas), plus Mathieu, Baghdatis, and Gonzalez. Starting the day, Karlovic and Monaco were under some threat, but they look pretty safe now. Carlos Moya is out.

Unless Tommy Haas does something really surprising, it appears we will have only one new name in the Top Thirty: Stanislas Wawrinka is in, Juan Ignacio Chela out. If Haas can make the final, he'll displace Fernando Verdasco.

The guy suffering the worst blow is surely Michael Russell, who made the fourth round last year but wasn't even in the draw last year. Julien Benneteau also lost fourth round points, but he had a somewhat higher point total.

In doubles, there will be no change at #1 in either Race or rankings.


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