The contest for the #1 ranking is over. Roger Federer will
be the top player this week, and after Miami, and all the
way until Monte Carlo. Indeed, a good result here could
clinch it all the way through Hamburg.
We have, in fact, clinched the entire Top Five: Rafael Nadal
will be #2, Novak Djokovic #3, Nikolay Davydenko #4, and
David Ferrer #5. The first possible move is at #6. Andy
Roddick has the spot now, but David Nalbandian can pass him
with a semifinal, and James Blake with a title.
Those nine (Federer, Nadal, Djokovic, Davydenko, Ferrer,
Roddick, Nalbandian, Gasquet, and Blake) were sure, as of
the beginning of this week, to be Top Ten when this is over.
That left one Top Ten spot, currently held by Tomas Berdych.
So close are the rankings from #11 to #25, though, that
anyone in the Top 25 could have passed Berdych with a title!
That meant that, on Wednesday morning, we have about eight
contenders for the last Top Ten spot. But none lasted the
day -- as of now, the #10 spot is Berdych's.
The fact that there were so many players still with a chance
at the Top Ten left the Top Fifteen very unsettled indeed.
But four players seemed secure in practice if perhaps not
quite in theory: Berdych (assuming he isn't Top Ten),
Youzhny, Tsonga, and Murray. And we can now add Robredo and
Looking good to stay Top Twenty are all the guys listed
above (Federer, Nadal, Djokovic, Davydenko, Ferrer, Roddick,
Nalbandian, Gasquet, Blake, Berdych, Youzhny, Tsonga,
Murray, Robredo, Canas), plus Mathieu, Baghdatis, and
Gonzalez. Starting the day, Karlovic and Monaco were under
some threat, but they look pretty safe now. Carlos Moya is
Unless Tommy Haas does something really surprising, it
appears we will have only one new name in the Top Thirty:
Stanislas Wawrinka is in, Juan Ignacio Chela out. If Haas
can make the final, he'll displace Fernando Verdasco.
The guy suffering the worst blow is surely Michael Russell,
who made the fourth round last year but wasn't even in the
draw last year. Julien Benneteau also lost fourth round
points, but he had a somewhat higher point total.
In doubles, there will be no change at #1 in either Race or